Analysis

Analysis offers a new angle on a contemporary or historical issue. These articles are policy-oriented and cover current developments around the globe that impinge upon American foreign policy and national security priorities.

How Belarus’ Soviet Past Led to its Modern-Day IT Success

Following a February 2020 visit to Minsk, an inspired Secretary of State Mike Pompeo tweeted his optimism regarding the “extraordinary growth potential” of Belarus’ Hi-Tech Park (HTP). A clearly impressed Pompeo was surprised to learn of the IT sector’s...

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Born Again: Japan’s Maritime Self-Defense Force Revitalization

Japan’s Maritime Self-Defense Force (MSDF), as it is officially known, is one of the world’s most powerful navies. Its fleet is larger than those of traditional European powers like France and the United Kingdom combined. But over the last...

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Why China’s Vision for a Global Yuan Trampled Ant Group’s IPO

To get rich may be glorious, but it can also be perilous, particularly if your business model clashes with Beijing’s agenda. The 11th hour suspension of Ant Group’s initial public offering (IPO) in early November has been portrayed as...

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China’s New Pressure on Taiwan in the South China Sea

In October 2020, Hong Kong’s air traffic control denied a Taiwanese flight access to Pratas Island, a Taiwan-occupied feature in the South China Sea. It was the first time that had ever occurred. The refusal, likely prompted by Beijing,...

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The Realist Victory in Nagorno-Karabakh

Armenia’s accession to a Russian-mediated settlement with Azerbaijan over their long-running conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh, known as Artsakh to Armenians, on November 10 marks a major, perhaps irreversible, loss for Yerevan. But it is not just Armenian forces who stand...

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In Search of the Biden Doctrine

Every election season, commentators search for the Holy Grail of American foreign policy, the presidential doctrine, or a leader’s defining set of diplomatic beliefs. The George W. Bush doctrine was to hunt down terrorists and spread democracy, if necessary,...

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Why Tough is Not Enough in Foreign Policy

I grew up in the rural Midwest, the youngest of four siblings. I worked farm jobs, played sports, and never wore shoes as a kid. As an adult, I joined the Marine Corps and became an ultra-runner, eventually running...

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Purple State China: China’s Preferences in the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election are…Complicated

In 2016, policy-relevant opinion in China favored Donald Trump’s election. In an overly simplistic and partisan assessment, and echoing claims by Trump himself, United States National Counterintelligence and Security Center (NCSC) Director William Evanina claimed in August that Beijing...

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Georgia’s Parliamentary Elections and the Problem of Oligarchic Rule

On October 31, Georgian voters will head to the polls to elect a new parliament. The election is seen as a litmus test of legitimacy for the ruling Georgian Dream Party (GD) and as a referendum on party leader...

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Treading Water: Malaysia’s Navy Modernization

Considering that the South China Sea divides Malaysia into two halves and that its neighbors—most notably the People’s Republic of China—have not only claimed part or all of those waters but also increased their naval and coast guard presence...

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