Analysis

Analysis offers a new angle on a contemporary or historical issue. These articles are policy-oriented and cover current developments around the globe that impinge upon American foreign policy and national security priorities.

Central Asian Gas Exports to China: Beijing’s Latest Bargaining Chip?

Natural gas supplies to the People’s Republic of China have helped drive Central Asia’s economic growth for the last decade. For no country is this more true than for Turkmenistan: over 90 percent of Turkmenistan’s total exports is natural...

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Europe as a Neutral Giant?

From Emmanuel Macron to Ursula von der Leyen, many European leaders dream of the European Union (EU) asserting itself one day as a geopolitical superpower in its own right. There is still a long way to go, however. True,...

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The Geopolitics of Post-Brexit Britain

The greatest failure of the European referendum campaign in 2016, which can be attributed to both sides, was the inability to articulate an understanding of Britain’s geopolitical relationship to Europe. By geopolitics, I do not mean its current usage:...

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Colin Gray: The Strategist’s Strategist

In February of this year, Colin S. Gray, the most consequential Anglo-American strategist of our time, died after a decades-long struggle with cancer. He was the teacher of two generations of U.S. and British defense experts. He was my...

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Double Shock: The Impact of COVID-19 and the Oil Price Collapse on Russia’s Energy Sector

A combination of a collapse in oil prices and the global pandemic has sent shockwaves through the oil industry. Compared to other oil-producing countries, Russia is better prepared to weather this oil price shock. Since 2014, Russia’s economy has...

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America in Crisis

It is a truism in international affairs that we live in an era of rapid, often destabilizing, change. That said, the global situation just a few months ago actually looked relatively stable and predictable. A lot that was going...

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The Centenary of the Treaty of Trianon Shows the Dangers of Nationalism in Europe

June 4 marks a century since the signing of the Treaty of Trianon, the forgotten cousin of the Treaty of Versailles, which ended World War I. The Versailles pact settled the war on the Western front; Trianon dealt with...

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Russia’s Air War in Libya: A Diplomatic Gambit?

On May 27, U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM) revealed that Russia had flown 14 MiG-29 and Su-24 fighter jets over Libya, in order to support Libya National Army (LNA) chieftain Khalifa Haftar’s offensive against the UN-backed Government of National Accord...

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On the Sidelines: Trump Gives Up the WHO—and Makes America Weaker

On May 29, U.S. President Donald Trump announced that the United States would leave the World Health Organization (WHO), a move that will further erode American influence. The decision also will further empower China, undermining the supposed reason for...

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Assessing North Korea’s COVID-19 Containment and Kim Jong-un’s Political Challenges

To contain COVID-19’s spread, North Korea has virtually shut the country’s borders, save for some limited trade. Unlike most other countries, North Korea is able to do so thanks to its normally tight border control and limited interaction with...

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