Analysis

Analysis offers a new angle on a contemporary or historical issue. These articles are policy-oriented and cover current developments around the globe that impinge upon American foreign policy and national security priorities.

Can Oman Survive Its Own Neighborhood After the Death of Sultan Qaboos?

The small Gulf state of Oman’s identity is closely—if not inextricably—linked with the person of Sultan Qaboos, who passed away on January 10 after nearly 50 years in power. He singlehandedly transformed the country from a sleepy, closed-off country...

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The Future of the Kuomintang in Taiwan: Reform, Recalibrate, or Stay the Course?

Once again, the future of Kuomintang (KMT), the political party headed by Chiang Kai-shek for decades and that favors a closer relationship with Mainland China, is in doubt due to the results of the recent presidential and legislative elections...

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What is the FISA Agenda as the New Decade Begins?

The Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) enters 2020 under the microscope in a way seldom seen in the four decades in which it has served as the touchstone for conducting foreign intelligence electronic surveillance in the United States. Consequently,...

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Eastern Promises: Our German Problem

It’s comforting to believe that frequently rocky US-German relations over the last three years have been due largely to President ...

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Iran Crisis Threatens Neighbors in Central Asia and the Caucasus

The United States and the Islamic Republic of Tehran may be closer to conflict than at any point since the ...

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A Faint Breeze of Change: Malaysia’s Relations with China

The relationship between Malaysia and China is not without conflict, though an outside observer could be forgiven for not realizing it. That is because Malaysia has long kept its differences with China discreet. One point of contention has been...

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Three Conflict Scenarios for the Black Sea in 2020

What happens in the Black Sea does not stay in the Black Sea. The region’s status as a crossroad linking ...

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FPRI Targeted in Online Disinformation Campaign

In a twist of the old adage that all politics is local—even international politics—last week the Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI) may have been a victim of the escalating tensions between Iran and the United States. On New Year’s...

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Snatching Strategic Defeat from the Jaws of Tactical Victory in the Middle East

The strategic implications from President Donald Trump’s tactical decision to kill General Qassem Soleimani, the leader of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), will only become manifestly clear with the passage of time and the benefit of hindsight. Immediate...

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Trends in Terrorism: What’s On the Horizon in 2020

As we usher in a new year, what trends in terrorism are likely to dominate the global security landscape in 2020? Geopolitical realignments, emerging technologies, and demographic shifts will all contribute to different manifestations of ideologically and politically motivated...

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