Analysis

Analysis offers a new angle on a contemporary or historical issue. These articles are policy-oriented and cover current developments around the globe that impinge upon American foreign policy and national security priorities.

Idlib: The Most Dangerous Place on Earth

Given the challenges they face, including an emerging disease pandemic and volatile markets, world governments may be tempted to put the seemingly endless war in Syria on the backburner for the moment. That would be a grave error. For...

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COVID-19 Crisis: Political and Economic Aftershocks

Nearly 100,000 people worldwide have been diagnosed with COVID-19, the new coronavirus that emerged in Wuhan, China, in late 2019. The human toll of the new virus has already been vast, with 3,300 deaths worldwide attributed to the virus...

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Asian Politics in Time of Corona

After every disaster, there is a search for answers: how did this happen, what could have been done to prevent it, and who should be held responsible. With cases of COVID-19 now reported on every continent save Antarctica, nearly...

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“Fifty Shades of Gray”: A Tribute to Colin S. Gray (1943–2020)

Colin S. Gray, a prolific Anglo-American scholar and strategist, died last week after a decades-long contest with cancer. A renowned scholar of geopolitics and nuclear strategy, Professor Gray worked in the United States and the United Kingdom and retired...

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If U.S. Forces Have To Leave The Philippines, Then What?

The Philippines began the process of terminating its Visiting Forces Agreement (VFA) with the United States in mid-February. In place since 1998, the VFA grants legal status to U.S. forces who are in the Philippines temporarily for exercises, humanitarian...

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Will Alexandar Vučić’s Presidency Explode? Botched Agent Running, Corruption Allegations Imperil Putin’s Balkan Ally

It is no small irony that a Belgrade brewpub named the “Black Sheep” should be the site of an artless Russian intelligence operation, the exposure of which, at one and the same time, reinforced Alexandar Vučić’s image as a...

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What North Korea’s Coronavirus Measures Say About Its System

The North Korean government response to the coronavirus has been extreme, but prudent and reasonable in context. It has closed the border to China almost entirely to both goods and people though surely some transports are still getting through....

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What the Iowa Caucus Means for Russia

The complicated political dance that is the Iowa caucus devolved into a flustered and chaotic disaster for the Democratic Party. Although human error and faulty technology are the culprits, the statewide failures in ballot reporting weaken trust in election...

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The Enduring Legacy of French and Belgian Islamic State Foreign Fighters

The Islamic State’s attacks in Paris in November 2015 and Brussels in March 2016 demonstrated ISIS’s reach from the heart of its “caliphate” in the Middle East to major European capitals. Foreign fighters from France and Belgium consistently proved...

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The Future of Russia’s Su-57: Few Customers and Little Interest Abroad

On December 24, Russia’s Sukhoi-57 (Su-57) fighter jet crashed in the country’s Far East dur-ing a test flight. The fighter, believed to be the first one serially produced from a program in de-velopment since 2002, is considered by Moscow...

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