Analysis

Analysis offers a new angle on a contemporary or historical issue. These articles are policy-oriented and cover current developments around the globe that impinge upon American foreign policy and national security priorities.

Government Push for Champions Could Have Firms Champing at the Bit

Capitalists of the world unite! You have everything to lose, especially your supply chains.  Just about a month ago, on June 18, Raytheon CEO Greg Hayes was quoted in the Financial Times as saying “We can de-risk, but we...

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The Primacy Trap

In the 2010s, the global landscape changed. The Arab Spring, the Russian occupation of Crimea, and China’s national security law in Hong Kong were indicative of a profound change in the global system. The era of the unipolar moment,...

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Wagner Mutiny Ex Post Facto: What’s Next in Russia and Africa?

After bulldozing trucks and shooting down government aircraft, Wagner Group’s columns, which had been advancing northward from Rostov, stalled out miles from Moscow. Their leader, Yevgeny Prigozhin, had come to an agreement with the Russian government. Belarusian President Aliaksandr...

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Autonomy Curbed? Kurdish Oil Exports Hit Snags from Turkey and Baghdad

Editor’s Note: This article was originally published by the Moshe Dayan Center for Middle Eastern and African Studies.    For the past three months, the Kurdish region in northern Iraq and its government, the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) have...

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Geography, Bureaucracy, and National Security: The New Map

Editor’s Note: This is the second article in a series on America’s national security system. The first article considers whether or not the legacy national security system of the United States organized around geographic regions is well-suited for strategic...

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Off the MAP: Ukraine and the Problems of Expanding NATO

To join NATO, prospective members typically must follow a MAP, or membership action plan. The MAP has been NATO’s standard bureaucratic procedure to convert applicants into members for over two decades. After Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic joined...

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Water and Climate Change Will Shape Iraq-Turkey Relations

With Recep Tayyip Erdogan re-elected in May as Turkey’s president for five more years, it is water and related environmental concerns that are poised to be the critical issue at the center of Turkish relations with Iraq, overshadowing and...

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China, Afghanistan, and the Allure of ‘Green Mineral Development’

There is a growing consensus that the “green transition” or “clean energy transition” to low-carbon technologies will require a range of minerals (“green minerals”).  As the lightest metal on the periodic table, lithium has certain unique properties which make...

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Following Prigozhin’s Aborted Mutiny, What Will Happen to the Wagner Group?

The future of the Wagner Group is in doubt. Less than a week after Wagner leader Yevgeny Prigozhin launched his march on Moscow on June 23, which was then aborted mid-coup, Russian President Vladimir Putin offered Wagner fighters who...

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Noncombatant Evacuation Operations Are Always Messy Affairs

Things became chaotic as officials of the American embassy in Sudan prepared for the evacuation of its embassy staff and American citizens in April 2023 in the wake of fighting between rival military forces. In addition to the destruction...

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