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Publications

Marisa Porges

Counterterrorism Lessons From Paris, After This Week’s World Cup Celebrations

July 20, 2018

Philadelphia Inquirer On the streets of Paris, police are breathing a sigh of relief. The two-year anniversary of the Nice terrorist attack, when a man associated with the Islamic State killed 86 people and injured 434 by driving a truck...

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Adam Garfinkle

How Afraid Should Americans Be Right Now?

July 20, 2018

The Philadelphia Inquirer Should we Americans be afraid nowadays, more afraid than 10 or 30 years ago? The short answer is yes, but a short answer to a complex question isn’t worth much. Fear is a basic human emotion that helps...

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Benjamin Katzeff Silberstein

North Korea’s Negative Growth in 2017: Things Look Bad, Unsurprisingly, But Take the Numbers With a Grain of Salt

July 20, 2018

38 North Bank of Korea (BOK) has put out their yearly estimate of North Korea’s GDP trends. This year, they estimate that the country’s GDP decreased by 3.5 percent. Off the top of my head, this seems a fairly...

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Ann Toews

Brexit & The Irish Border 101

July 20, 2018

British Prime Minister Theresa May was in Northern Ireland yesterday and today to address what has become Brexit’s thorniest issue: the Irish border. A steady barrage of statements, agreements, and hot takes makes it challenging to follow the situation...

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Benjamin Katzeff Silberstein

All Politics Is Local, In North Korea Too

July 20, 2018

North Korea is involved in an international process, negotiating with both South Korea and the United States. This poses a methodological curiosity of sorts for those who study and try to make sense of its politics, foreign as well...

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Anna Mikulska

What Makes Putin’s Vision of a Russian-US Oil Alliance a Pipedream

July 19, 2018

The Conversation When Russian leader Vladimir Putin addressed the media in Helsinki alongside President Donald Trump, he proposed that their countries “work together” to make oil and gas markets calmer. Trump didn’t say whether he supported the idea but...

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Adam Garfinkle

Three Percent, Two or Four Percent, It Doesn’t Matter Anymore

July 18, 2018

President Donald Trump’s recent journey to a NATO summit in Brussels and to a summit with Vladimir Putin in Helsinki turns the page on an epoch of American foreign policy that traces back to Harry Truman, George Marshall, Dean...

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George W. Croner

Fact and Denial: Trump’s Inexplicable Refutation of the U.S. Intelligence Community’s Conclusion of Russian Election Interference

July 18, 2018

A surreal scene unfolded in Helsinki on July 16, 2018, when an American president, standing side-by-side with the autocratic president of Russia, openly disavowed the collective conclusion of the U.S. Intelligence Community that Russia, under the direction of that...

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Luis Navarro

Georgian Shadow Democracy in the Age of Illiberalism

July 17, 2018

This spring, Georgia marked—with understandable pride—the centennial of the first democratic republic founded on May 26, 1918. This brief, but shining, moment in the nation’s history, the beginning of a three-year period between its occupation by Czarist Russia and...

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Yuval Weber

The Trump-Putin Summit: Domestic Fallout and the Future of U.S.-Russia Cooperation

July 17, 2018

Whatever the outcome of Donald Trump’s presidency, the meeting with Vladimir Putin in Helsinki at the American president’s strenuous insistence will shape both Trump’s “Russia story” and international politics until either Trump or Putin leaves office. The two hours...

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