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Publications

Colin P. Clarke

The Age of Zawahiri Ends in Kabul

August 4, 2022

For Ayman al-Zawahiri, al-Qaeda’s longtime leader, last Saturday probably began like any other. The veteran Egyptian jihadist liked to start the day by reading alone on the balcony of his safehouse in the Sherpur neighborhood of Kabul, Afghanistan. However,...

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Lukas Milevski

Baltic Defense After Madrid

July 28, 2022

A confluence of factors raising its significance, expectations were high for NATO’s 2022 summit in Madrid held June 28-30. A new strategic concept was to be adopted. Russia’s assault on Ukraine had transformed the geopolitical situation; even German Chancellor...

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Charles A. Ray

Presidential Election Up for Grabs in Angola

July 25, 2022

On April 6, 2022, Angolan President Joao Lourenco announced to the Council of the Republic that general elections will be held on August 24, 2022. Lourenco, of the ruling People’s Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA), will be...

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Olga Khvostunova

Why Russian Elites Are Standing By Putin

July 22, 2022

Since the beginning of Russia’s war in Ukraine, political analysts and commentators have been looking out for signs of a split within the Russian ruling class that could signal diminishing support for Vladimir Putin’s regime. In the days after...

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Alexander Thomas

Energy Transformation after the Second Russo-Ukrainian War

July 21, 2022

On Wednesday, June 22, 2022, the Foreign Policy Research Institute organized a panel discussion with leading experts to discuss the transformation of international energy relations during and after the second Russo-Ukraine War. Co-hosted by Rice University’s Baker Institute for...

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Nikolas K. Gvosdev

The Regional Dimension to U.S. National Security

July 20, 2022

The United States defines its national security interests in global terms. With every iteration of the National Security Strategy and the National Defense Strategy, every region of the world is acknowledged as having importance to American interests. Yet the...

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Rick Fawn, Jason Bruder

Building the West’s On-Ramp to China’s Belt and Road: Opportunities in the South Caucasus

July 12, 2022

Abstract China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is already changing infrastructure and production across much of the world. The three states of the South Caucasus and their counterparts in Central Asia need diverse connectivity to preserve their economic and...

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Bruce Riedel

Reflections on the “Other Crisis” of 1962: China and India

July 12, 2022

Abstract John F. Kennedy confronted a second major crisis in 1962: the Chinese invasion of India, which threatened the territorial integrity of the world’s largest democracy. India appealed for and received US military aid in a major airlift. Kennedy...

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Dong Jung Kim

Avoiding the Geoeconomic Domino Theory

July 12, 2022

Abstract The recent US emphasis on a geoeconomic confrontation with China in the developing states could spawn an economic version of the domino theory. Geoeconomic domino theory assumes that if Beijing’s economic influence is not stopped in a developing state,...

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