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Publications

Jessica Pickering

Foreign Competition in Guinea: The Scramble for Natural Resources

September 17, 2021

Often referred to as Guinea-Conakry to distinguish itself from nearby Guinea-Bissau and Equatorial Guinea, as well as the Pacific Island nation of Papua New Guinea, the West African nation of Guinea has an abundance of the world’s most valuable...

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Johan Norberg, Natalie Simpson

Zapad 2021 and Russia’s Potential for Warfighting

September 15, 2021

  According to press information, on 10 September 2021, the Russian Armed Forces plan to start the one-week-long active phase of this year’s annual strategic-level exercise (STRATEX), Zapad (West) 2021, a bilateral large-scale Russo-Belorussian strategic-level exercise, primarily in Belarus and Russia’s...

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Robert E. Hamilton

Russia’s Forever Wars: Syria and the Pursuit of Great Power Status

September 15, 2021

September 2021 marks the sixth anniversary of the Russian Federation’s intervention in the Syrian civil war. A patient, flexible strategy set against irresolute and muddled Western strategies allowed Moscow to achieve its initial aim of preventing the fall of...

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Aaron Stein

Engaging Russia over Syria: Managing Peripheral Conflict and Narrowing Interests

September 14, 2021

  Executive Summary The United States is examining how to narrow core objectives in the Middle East to focus on improving military readiness and increasing the number of low-density, high-demand assets available for deployment in Asia and Europe. To...

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Mandira Bagwandeen

Don’t blame China for the rise of digital authoritarianism in Africa

September 13, 2021

The Chinese state is the poster child of using digital tools for domestic surveillance and censorship. But China is not the only country exporting digital technologies that can be used for authoritarian modes of governance. Reliant on importing new...

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Hon. John F. Lehman, Jr., Steven Wills

Where are the Carriers? U.S. National Strategy and the Choices Ahead

September 9, 2021

  Executive Summary As the United States seeks to prepare for a potential conflict with a peer-level adversary, the debate around the utility of the aircraft carrier—and its role in such a contingency—once again has resurfaced. Since the carrier’s...

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Thomas J. Shattuck

Lithuania shows blueprint to oppose China

September 1, 2021

Taipei Times The Baltic nation of Lithuania has recently become the European face of resistance against the People’s Republic of China — and also a new friend to Taiwan. Vilnius is the latest to make waves over changes to...

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Frank G. Hoffman, Andrew Orner

Dueling Dyads: Conceptualizing Proxy Wars in Strategic Competition

August 30, 2021

Strategic competition with the Russian Federation and People’s Republic of China has become the new orienting challenge for the U.S. national security community. While many officials and writers envision strategic competition across many domains, the increased likelihood of proxy...

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Jonathan Meyer

Forceful Displays and Soft Rhetoric: Central Asia’s Response to Developments in Afghanistan

August 25, 2021

The swift fall of the Afghan government and Taliban takeover over the past few weeks poses challenges for the countries to the north. Central Asian governments desire a stable and secure government in Afghanistan that can prevent the spillover...

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Rob Lee

Russia’s Coercive Diplomacy: Why Did the Kremlin Mass Its Forces Near Ukraine This Spring?

August 23, 2021

  Introduction During March and April 2021, the Russian military conducted a large-scale buildup in its regions bordering Ukraine, including Crimea, which Russia annexed in 2014. Scores of videos appeared on TikTok, Telegram, Twitter, and other social media sites...

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