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Publications

Afshon Ostovar

Iran’s Perilous Path Back to Power

September 18, 2025

A year of sustained losses has left Iran’s grand strategy in ruins. The near destruction of Hamas in Gaza, the evisceration of the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah, and the collapse of Bashar al-Assad’s regime in Syria deprived Iran of...

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Michael DeAngelo

Lessons from Burkina Faso’s Fight Against al-Qaeda and the Islamic State

September 18, 2025

Introduction Jihadist insurgencies in Burkina Faso began in 2016-2017 and have escalated dramatically since 2019. Between 2018 and 2024, jihadists killed more than 25,000 people. From 2022 to 2023, fatalities attributed to terrorism increased by 68 percent, making Burkina...

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Charles A. Ray

The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam: A Regional Destabilizer or a New Model for African Development?

September 17, 2025

On September 9, 2025, the government of Ethiopia officially inaugurated Africa’s largest dam, the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD). This massive project was under construction from 2011 to 2023 and was in the process of being filled for the...

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Aaron Stein

Europe Should Buy and Integrate APKWS Rockets For Drone Defense 

September 16, 2025

In the early morning hours on September 10, more than a dozen Russian target drones crossed into Polish airspace, before less than a dozen were shot down by Dutch F-35s. The infiltration sparked concerns about escalation between NATO and...

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Thomas J. Shattuck

Searching for Taiwan’s South China Sea Policy under Lai Ching-te

September 16, 2025

The multi-state dispute in the South China Sea has enveloped the region for decades, with no signs of abating. Much of the media attention on the region has recently focused on coercion and aggression conducted by the People’s Republic...

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Aaron Stein

Nuclear Weapons In Space: Orbital Bombardment and Strategic Stability

September 16, 2025

Executive Summary  In 2015, a new space race began. Blue Origin, a privately owned company, landed a booster on a launch pad back on earth, after lifting an object 100 kilometers into the atmosphere. SpaceX quickly followed suit, landing its own Falcon booster back on a pad for use again for later space...

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Emma Salisbury

Win-Win: The UK-Norwegian Type 26 Deal

September 15, 2025

The Norwegian government has made a landmark decision in its naval modernization strategy by choosing the United Kingdom as its key partner for the acquisition of new frigates. This is not just another procurement deal: It is the single...

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Shannon Vaughn

From Vouchers to Visas: China’s Innovative Plan for AI Dominance

September 10, 2025

Introduction While international attention often centers on China’s latest foundation models or its constrained access to high-end artificial intelligence (AI) chips, these headlines obscure the broader architecture of China’s AI strategy. China is pursuing a dual-track approach that combines...

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Rob Lee

Russia’s New Battlefield Tactics in Ukraine

September 5, 2025

  The Kyiv Independent’s Francis Farrell sits down with Rob Lee, a military expert and senior fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute, to assess the state of Russia’s war in Ukraine three and a half years into the...

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Aaron Stein, Tim Ball

Small Drones, Big Problems: Managing the Unmanned Threat to the Homeland

September 2, 2025

    “There is perhaps no better example of the rapidly evolving strategic environment than the emergence of small unmanned aerial systems (sUAS) as a threat to infrastructure and personnel in the homeland. The availability and utility of small...

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