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Publications

Joshua Freedman

Taiwan’s Recall Vote and Its Implications

July 25, 2025

On July 26, only a year and a half after the most recent general election, Taiwanese voters will once again head to the polls. This time, however, the vote is not part of a standard election cycle. Instead, after...

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Mohammed A. Salih

An Emergent US-Favored Regional Order in the Middle East and its Challenges

July 23, 2025

In the wake of Hamas’s October 7 attacks on Israel and the subsequent Israeli military campaign in Gaza and beyond, the Middle East is undergoing a profound geopolitical restructuring. Spearheaded by Israeli initiative and broadly endorsed by Washington, a...

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Nadav Tikochinsky

Fighting Irregular Wars: Is it Time to Rethink the Laws of Perfidy?

July 18, 2025

On June 8, 2024, Israeli forces executed a hostage-rescue operation in Nuseirat, central Gaza. The Israeli operation was widely reported to have utilized civilian disguises, with some forces allegedly being transported in civilian vehicles and wearing civilian clothing. In...

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Joshua Freedman

The Impacts of Trump’s Tariffs on Taiwan

July 11, 2025

Three months on, the aftershocks of Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff spree in April 2025 continue to reverberate across East Asia. The United States imposed high tariff rates across the region, including 32 percent on goods from Taiwan, before...

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Raghvendra Kumar

Countering China’s Expansionism: Japan-India Synergy in Africa Amidst US Aid Retrenchment    

July 7, 2025

Introduction The Japan-India-Africa Business Forum, held on February 26, 2025, marked a strategic step in strengthening the India-Japan partnership, reflecting a shared commitment to fostering collaboration and promoting economic growth in Africa and beyond. Convened by Japan’s Ministry of...

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Charles A. Ray

Foreign Influence is Fueling the War in Sudan

July 2, 2025

The current war raging in Sudan began on April 15, 2023, with violent clashes between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF). Two years later, the conflict shows no signs of abating, primarily due...

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Robert Beck

Czech Republic Faces Pressing Security Challenges Ahead of Parliamentary Elections

July 1, 2025

Czech President Petr Pavel, in a statement to the press on May 15, 2025, complimented the leaders of the country’s main political parties for their consensus on the core foundations of Prague’s current security posture. According to Pavel, “there...

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Michael Beckley, Nikolas K. Gvosdev, Takuya Matsuda, Aaron Glasserman, Shannon Vaughn, M. Terry Cooke, Joshua Freedman, Carlos Salazar, Chris Estep

Balancing Acts: Deterrence and Reassurance in US-China Strategy

June 30, 2025

Managing Tensions, Maintaining Balance—Michael Beckley This month, we’re zeroing in on a core tension in US strategy toward China: how to strike the right balance between deterrence and reassurance. As Washington strengthens military postures, deepens coalitions, and hardens supply...

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Māris Andžāns

Latvia’s Renewed Conscription Turns Two

June 27, 2025

July 1, 2025, marks two years since the first conscripts began their 11-month service under Latvia’s renewed conscription system, known as the National Defence Service. Contrary to what Latvia’s Ministry of Defence claimed back in 2017, the return of...

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Philip Wasielewski, Doug Wise

Covert Action: Evaluating the Future Leadership of US Strategic Covert Operations

June 27, 2025

Two recent essays published by the Center for the Study of Intelligence and Nontraditional Warfare at the Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI) rekindle interest in a perennial debate about whether covert action, particularly paramilitary operations, and other capabilities related...

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