Analysis

Analysis offers a new angle on a contemporary or historical issue. These articles are policy-oriented and cover current developments around the globe that impinge upon American foreign policy and national security priorities.

Stress-Testing Chinese-Russian Relations

The statements could not have been more different. As Chinese President Xi Jinping wrapped up his visit to Russia in March, the two governments released a joint statement that described their relations as having reached “their highest level in...

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America and the Philippines Update Defense Guidelines

If a Chinese ship was to open fire on a Philippine coast guard vessel in the disputed South China Sea, what would the United States do? Clearly, given that the Philippines and the United States share a long-standing mutual...

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The Breakdown of the US-South African Strategic Partnership

Editor’s Note: This article was first published in Asia Times under the title “US-South Africa ties explode on Russia arms claim.”   The Russian invasion of Ukraine has put tremendous strain on the strategic partnership between South Africa and...

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The Shah’s Son and the Future of Iranian Opposition

On January 15, 1979, Iran’s Shah, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, and his family left the country for the last time. After a short period of wandering in Egypt, Morocco, the Bahamas, and Mexico, during which the last shah passed away,...

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What Happens Next with the Wagner Group?

In a recent video released by Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigozhin, he stares into the camera and berates several of the Russian military’s top leaders, including Russian army general and Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed...

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US-China Rivalry Exacerbates US Corporate Risk

Editor’s note: This is the first paper in the “Expanding the Focus” series in the National Security Studies program. In May 2023, National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan observed that “the future of the United States is going to be...

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Macron’s Radical Reform to French Diplomacy

Editor’s Note: A previous version of this article (“France, une grogne en cache une autre”) was published in Medias 24. Antonella Benedetto contributed to the translation from French to English.    On March 16, while French citizens were protesting...

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High North, High Tension: The End of Arctic Illusions

For a long time, the Arctic was seen as a zone free of geopolitical tensions. Apart from joint military drills between NATO members and Russia that were discontinued after Russia’s annexation of Crimea, “High North, low tension” was the...

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Democracy at Stake in South Africa

Flawed Democracy Since the end of Apartheid, the South African government has functioned as a one-party dominant democracy. The African National Congress (ANC) has provided political stability for an emergent nation that some feared would be torn apart by...

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Putin’s Holy Grail: Myth, Power, and the Retaking of Russian-Occupied Crimea

“Now, they will call you ‘Putin the Crimean.’” – Alexei Venediktov, editor-in-chief of the Echo of Moscow, to Vladimir Putin after the Russian annexation of Crimea   Following weeks of Kyiv’s warnings about an upcoming counteroffensive, Russian troops in...

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