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Publications

Felix K. Chang

America and the Philippines Update Defense Guidelines

May 24, 2023

If a Chinese ship was to open fire on a Philippine coast guard vessel in the disputed South China Sea, what would the United States do? Clearly, given that the Philippines and the United States share a long-standing mutual...

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Michael Walsh

The Breakdown of the US-South African Strategic Partnership

May 23, 2023

Editor’s Note: This article was first published in Asia Times under the title “US-South Africa ties explode on Russia arms claim.”   The Russian invasion of Ukraine has put tremendous strain on the strategic partnership between South Africa and...

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Una Bergmane

Who Will be the Next President of Latvia?

May 22, 2023

On May 31, 2023, the parliament of Latvia will attempt to elect Latvia’s next president. The presidential race that has just started has already had some rather dramatic twists and turns.   First there were two candidates: The right-wing nationalist...

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Lior Sternfeld

The Shah’s Son and the Future of Iranian Opposition

May 19, 2023

On January 15, 1979, Iran’s Shah, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, and his family left the country for the last time. After a short period of wandering in Egypt, Morocco, the Bahamas, and Mexico, during which the last shah passed away,...

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Colin P. Clarke

What Happens Next with the Wagner Group?

May 18, 2023

In a recent video released by Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigozhin, he stares into the camera and berates several of the Russian military’s top leaders, including Russian army general and Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed...

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Derek S. Reveron, John E. Savage

US-China Rivalry Exacerbates US Corporate Risk

May 16, 2023

Editor’s note: This is the first paper in the “Expanding the Focus” series in the National Security Studies program. In May 2023, National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan observed that “the future of the United States is going to be...

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Ahmed Faouzi

Macron’s Radical Reform to French Diplomacy

May 15, 2023

Editor’s Note: A previous version of this article (“France, une grogne en cache une autre”) was published in Medias 24. Antonella Benedetto contributed to the translation from French to English.    On March 16, while French citizens were protesting...

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Rob Lee

Ukraine’s Fight Inside Russia, Behind Enemy Lines

May 12, 2023

Bloggers and news outlets in Russia are abuzz with speculation about what could be the start of Ukraine’s long-awaited spring counteroffensive. Experts have had months to speculate about what shape the counteroffensive might take and what its chances of...

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András Tóth-Czifra

The War as an Accelerator

May 12, 2023

Introduction More than one year after Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine it has become clear that Russia’s security elite and President Vladimir Putin seriously underestimated both the resilience and combat capabilities of Ukraine and the willingness of an international...

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Minna Ålander

High North, High Tension: The End of Arctic Illusions

May 11, 2023

For a long time, the Arctic was seen as a zone free of geopolitical tensions. Apart from joint military drills between NATO members and Russia that were discontinued after Russia’s annexation of Crimea, “High North, low tension” was the...

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