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Publications

Nikolas K. Gvosdev

Strategic Challenges Facing the Biden Administration: Advice from a Former National Security Advisor

May 19, 2021

President Joseph Biden will be engaged with the key U.S. partners at the Carbis Bay G-7 Summit, but which will also include India, South Korea, and Australia—the embryonic nucleus of a proposed D-10 (group of the ten leading democracies)....

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George W. Croner

To Oversee or to Overrule: What is the Role of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court Under FISA Section 702?

May 18, 2021

Lawfare Last month, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) released a redacted version of a Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court (FISC) opinion and order following a declassification review. The opinion, which was originally entered in November 2020,...

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Maxim Starchak

Russia’s Nuclear Activity in 2020: A Show of Strength Despite COVID-19

May 13, 2021

Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, the Russian Federation's powerful nuclear arsenal has stood as a cornerstone of its political and military influence. In 2020, despite the COVID-19 pandemic and related restrictions, Russia's strategic nuclear forces maintained a...

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Wolfgang G. Schwanitz

Understanding the Origins of Pan-Islamism during World War I

May 12, 2021

The German-Ottoman jihadization of Islam during World War I led to the development of the first Sunni theory of Islamism. It called for Islamic lands to run their regions under one global brotherhood and to fight enemies according to...

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Silviu Kondan, Mridvika Sahajpal, David J Trimbach

Identifying the Needs of Estonia’s Russian-speaking Minority: COVID-19, Data Disaggregation, and Social Determinants of Health

May 11, 2021

Estonia’s reputation as one of Europe’s most digitally advanced countries is best exemplified in its residents’ abilities to do almost everything online—from filing taxes, to conducting business, to even casting their ballots. Such digital achievements are also observed within...

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Paul Bracken

The Tension Between Secrecy and Innovation

May 10, 2021

One of the most harmful effects of China’s cyber espionage and from whistleblowers who publish classified information is the bureaucratic response that it triggers. Most agencies double down on secrecy. They install software to track access, monitor online behavior,...

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Thomas J. Shattuck

Appraising Biden: New US administration seen continuing America’s support for Taiwan security

May 7, 2021

Strategic Vision While Former US President Donald Trump was viewed as one of Taiwan’s greatest friends by certain camps in Taiwan, the US-Taiwan relationship under the Trump administration was largely characterized by uncertainty and unpredictability. After he took office...

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Thomas J. Shattuck

US should send shots to Taiwan

May 6, 2021

Taipei Times As the US’ mass COVID-19 vaccination campaign continues at a record pace, one question under debate is what the administration of US President Joe Biden should do with its extra doses — and especially where to send...

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Felix K. Chang

China’s Maritime Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance Capability in the South China Sea

May 5, 2021

Detecting, identifying, and tracking ships at sea are among the most fundamental intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) tasks that any country must perform if it wants to exert control over a maritime area—a goal China has long sought to...

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George W. Croner

Conjuring a ‘First Amendment right of public access’ to FISC court decisions is dangerous for U.S. intelligence

May 5, 2021

Center for Ethics and the Rule of Law As has now been widely reported, last month the American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU), represented by a consortium of lawyers drawn from a host of First Amendment advocacy groups, filed a petition with...

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